{"id":21682,"date":"2025-08-12T10:19:27","date_gmt":"2025-08-12T14:19:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/immigrantquebec.com\/fr\/?p=21682"},"modified":"2025-08-08T16:08:17","modified_gmt":"2025-08-08T20:08:17","slug":"lisq-publie-ses-projections-demographiques-du-quebec","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/immigrantquebec.com\/fr\/actualites\/lisq-publie-ses-projections-demographiques-du-quebec\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019ISQ publie ses projections d\u00e9mographiques du Qu\u00e9bec"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Le 30\u00a0juillet 2025, l\u2019Institut de la statistique du Qu\u00e9bec a publi\u00e9 ses perspectives d\u00e9mographiques du Qu\u00e9bec. Les donn\u00e9es mettent \u00e0 jour celles qu\u2019il avait publi\u00e9es en 2023, en tenant compte des nouvelles politiques et des tendances d\u00e9mographiques actuelles\u00a0: les restrictions en mati\u00e8re d\u2019immigration, mais aussi le taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 et le nombre de d\u00e9c\u00e8s. En effet, la derni\u00e8re ann\u00e9e a \u00e9t\u00e9 riche en nouvelles influen\u00e7ant \u00e0 la baisse la d\u00e9mographie de la province.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Une redistribution de la population dans la province : Montr\u00e9al perd de la population au profit de Qu\u00e9bec<\/b><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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L\u2019ISQ propose ainsi trois sc\u00e9narios possibles (R\u00e9f\u00e9rence, Faible et Fort) pour mieux entrevoir l\u2019avenir de la population qu\u00e9b\u00e9coise. En 2051, la population pourrait atteindre entre 7,84\u00a0millions et 10,61\u00a0millions d\u2019habitants au plus optimiste, 9,2\u00a0millions \u00e9tant la r\u00e9f\u00e9rence de 2025. Pour rappel, le Qu\u00e9bec comptait en 2024 une population de 9,06\u00a0millions. <\/span><\/p>

\u00c0 plus court terme, selon l\u2019Institut, il faut s\u2019attendre \u00e0 une baisse de la population de 80\u2009000\u00a0personnes d\u2019ici 2030, \u00e0 cause de la baisse de l\u2019immigration temporaire.<\/span><\/p>

Si on s\u2019int\u00e9resse \u00e0 plus petite mesure sur les villes, ce sont la Capitale-Nationale (+21\u00a0%) et Drummondville (+17\u00a0%) qui enregistreront la plus grande croissance entre 2021 et 2051. A contrario<\/em>, Montr\u00e9al enregistrera, d\u2019ici 2051, une baisse de 4,5\u00a0% (et une hausse de seulement 2,6\u00a0% pour sa R\u00e9gion m\u00e9tropolitaine de recensement). Les chiffres sont plus impressionnants \u00e0 court terme\u00a0: la ville risque de souffrir davantage de la baisse du nombre d\u2019immigrants temporaires et perdre 9,2\u00a0% de sa population d\u2019ici 2030. \u00c0 m\u00eame \u00e9ch\u00e9ance, la RMR de Montr\u00e9al perdra, elle aussi, jusqu\u2019\u00e0 3,3\u00a0% de sa population. <\/span><\/p>

Ainsi, la r\u00e9gion de Montr\u00e9al repr\u00e9sentera une part moins grande de la population qu\u00e9b\u00e9coise, passant de 23,4\u00a0% \u00e0 20,9\u00a0% (sa RMR passera de 50,5\u00a0% \u00e0 48,3\u00a0%). Quant \u00e0 la r\u00e9gion de Qu\u00e9bec, la population repr\u00e9sentera 11,3\u00a0% de la population, contrairement \u00e0 9,9\u00a0% en 2021. <\/span><\/p>

Au-del\u00e0 de ces \u00e9volutions remarquables, le poids d\u00e9mographique des r\u00e9gions sera plut\u00f4t stable. <\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\tPoint int\u00e9ressant soulev\u00e9 par l\u2019\u00e9tude : la baisse de population de 0,9 % attendue d\u2019ici 2030 n\u2019entra\u00eenera pas de baisse des besoins en logement \u2014 au contraire, ces derniers seront en hausse de 0,8 %.\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/blockquote>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Ce sont surtout les jeunes qui sont touch\u00e9es par la baisse d\u00e9mographique\u00a0: la population \u00e2g\u00e9e de 0 \u00e0 19\u00a0ans baissera de 14\u00a0% d\u2019ici 2051 et celle de 20 \u00e0 64\u00a0ans de 8\u00a0%. Les populations \u00e2g\u00e9es de 65\u00a0ans et plus resteront stables.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Pour acc\u00e9der au communiqu\u00e9 de l\u2019Institut de la statistique du Qu\u00e9bec<\/a><\/strong><\/p>

Pour acc\u00e9der au Bulletin sociod\u00e9mographique<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Photo\u00a0: Abir Hiranandani<\/span><\/em><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les derni\u00e8res projections de l’Institut de la statistique du Qu\u00e9bec entrevoient une baisse spectaculaire de la population d’ici 2051.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3463,"featured_media":21683,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-21682","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-actualites","8":"entry"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nL\u2019ISQ publie ses projections d\u00e9mographiques du Qu\u00e9bec - Immigrant Qu\u00e9bec<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Les derni\u00e8res projections de l'Institut de la statistique du Qu\u00e9bec entrevoient une baisse spectaculaire de la population d'ici 2051.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/immigrantquebec.com\/fr\/actualites\/lisq-publie-ses-projections-demographiques-du-quebec\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"L\u2019ISQ publie ses projections d\u00e9mographiques du Qu\u00e9bec - Immigrant Qu\u00e9bec\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Les derni\u00e8res projections de l'Institut de la statistique du Qu\u00e9bec entrevoient une baisse spectaculaire de la population d'ici 2051.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/immigrantquebec.com\/fr\/actualites\/lisq-publie-ses-projections-demographiques-du-quebec\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Immigrant Qu\u00e9bec\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/immigrantquebec\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-08-12T14:19:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/immigrantquebec.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/abir-hiranandani-3km-7PA1ZTY-unsplash-950.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"950\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"400\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marine Caleb\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marine Caleb\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/immigrantquebec.com\\\/fr\\\/actualites\\\/lisq-publie-ses-projections-demographiques-du-quebec\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/immigrantquebec.com\\\/fr\\\/actualites\\\/lisq-publie-ses-projections-demographiques-du-quebec\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Marine Caleb\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/immigrantquebec.com\\\/fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/5a0a7750c5af0c69575b9d0398abcc4f\"},\"headline\":\"L\u2019ISQ publie ses projections d\u00e9mographiques du Qu\u00e9bec\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-08-12T14:19:27+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/immigrantquebec.com\\\/fr\\\/actualites\\\/lisq-publie-ses-projections-demographiques-du-quebec\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":444,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/immigrantquebec.com\\\/fr\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/immigrantquebec.com\\\/fr\\\/actualites\\\/lisq-publie-ses-projections-demographiques-du-quebec\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/immigrantquebec.com\\\/fr\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/08\\\/abir-hiranandani-3km-7PA1ZTY-unsplash-950.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Actualit\u00e9s\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/immigrantquebec.com\\\/fr\\\/actualites\\\/lisq-publie-ses-projections-demographiques-du-quebec\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/immigrantquebec.com\\\/fr\\\/actualites\\\/lisq-publie-ses-projections-demographiques-du-quebec\\\/\",\"name\":\"L\u2019ISQ publie ses projections d\u00e9mographiques du Qu\u00e9bec - 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